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The Future of Smartphone Shipment Growth for 2024

Zaid Mansuri by Zaid Mansuri
July 30, 2023
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The global smartphone market has experienced a decline of 7.8% in Q2 2023, according to the International Data Corporation (IDC). This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of decline, indicating a trend that manufacturers and industry experts have been watching closely.

The decline is attributed to several factors, including soft market demand and rising inflation. Consumers are holding onto their devices for longer periods of time due to the higher costs associated with upgrading to newer models. Additionally, the pandemic has caused economic uncertainty, resulting in decreased consumer spending across all industries.

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As a result, smartphone manufacturers are struggling to maintain sales and reduce inventory levels. While this may seem like bad news for the industry as a whole, there is hope on the horizon.

With excess inventory expected to clear up by Q3 and new opportunities emerging in the foldable smartphone market, there is potential for growth in 2024. In this blog post, we will explore these trends further and discuss what they mean for the future of smartphone shipment growth.

Potential for Growth in 2024

As we look towards the future of smartphone shipment growth, there is hope for a rebound in 2024. While Q2 2023 saw a decline of 7.8% in global smartphone shipments, there are several factors that point towards a brighter outlook in the coming years.

One key factor is the clearing up of excess inventory in finished devices and components. This excess inventory has been a major issue for manufacturers, leading to lower prices and decreased demand. However, experts predict that this excess inventory will clear up by Q3, allowing manufacturers to focus on producing new devices and meeting market demand.

Another factor contributing to potential growth is the projected 50% increase in the foldable smartphone market this year. With more consumers looking for innovative and unique devices, foldable smartphones offer a new and exciting option. As technology continues to improve and prices become more affordable, we can expect to see even more growth in this market segment.

Finally, we can also expect to see a shift in vendor rankings at the bottom of the stack. As smaller vendors struggle to compete with larger companies like Apple and Samsung, they may be forced out of the market or acquired by larger players. This consolidation could lead to increased competition among remaining vendors and ultimately benefit consumers with better products at lower prices.

In conclusion, while Q2 2023 saw a decline in global smartphone shipments, there are reasons for optimism when it comes to future growth. With excess inventory clearing up, growth in the foldable smartphone market, and potential shifts in vendor rankings, we can expect to see continued innovation and competition in the industry. As always, consumers will benefit from these developments with better products at competitive prices.

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